National Bureau of Economic Research; Harvard University
3400
Selected Publications
Journal Articles
John Y. Campbell (2026). Teaching Students to Understand the Personal Finance System. Financial Counseling and Planning.DOI
John Y. Campbell, T. Ramadorai (2026). Household Finance in Retrospect and Prospect. Social Science Research Network.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Ian W. R. Martinez (2025). Sustainability in a Risky World. American Economic Review-Insights, Vol. 7, No. 2.DOI
John Campbell, CAROLIN E. PFLUEGER, Luis M. Viceira (2025). Bond-Stock Comovements. Annual Review of Financial Economics.DOI
John Y. Campbell, J. Stein, A. Wu (2024). Economic Budgeting for Endowment-Dependent Universities. Social Science Research Network.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Martin Lettau, Burton Malkiel, Yexiao Xu (2023). Idiosyncratic Equity Risk Two Decades Later. Critical Finance Review, Vol. 12, No. 14.DOI
Vimal Balasubramaniam, John Y. Campbell, Tarun Ramadorai, Benjamin Ranish (2023). Who Owns What? A Factor Model for Direct Stockholding. The Journal of Finance.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Roman Sigalov (2022). Portfolio choice with sustainable spending: A model of reaching for yield. Journal Of Financial Economics, Vol. 1430, No. 1.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Nuno Clara, Joao F. Cocco (2021). Structuring Mortgages for Macroeconomic Stability. Journal Of Finance, Vol. 760, No. 5.DOI
Steffen Andersen, John Y. Campbell, Kasper Meisner Nielsen, Tarun Ramadorai (2020). Sources of Inaction in Household Finance: Evidence from the Danish Mortgage Markets. American Economic Review, Vol. 1100, No. 10.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Carolin Pflueger, Luis M. Viceira (2020). Macroeconomic Drivers of Bond and Equity Risks. Journal Of Political Economy, Vol. 1280, No. 8.DOI
Steffen Andersen, John Y. Campbell, Kasper Meisner Nielsen, Tarun Ramadorai (2020). Sources of Inaction in Household Finance: Evidence from the Danish Mortgage Market. American Economic Review.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Tarun Ramadorai, Benjamin Ranish (2019). Do the Rich Get Richer in the Stock Market? Evidence from India. American Economic Review-Insights, Vol. 1, No. 2.DOI
Xudong An, Yongheng Deng, Stuart A. Gabriel, Sumit Agarwal, Y. Ait-Sahalia, Gene Amromim, L. Allen, Brent W. Ambrose, Neal Bhutta, Shaun Bond, A. A. Borisov, Raphael W. Bostic, John Y. Campbell, P. Calem, Alex Chinco, J. Cotter, Larry Cordell, Thomas Davidoff, Moussa Diop, Darrell Duffie, Ronel Elul, Jian-Qing Fan, A. Ghent, Matt Kahn, Bill Lang, David C. Ling, Crocker H. Liu, J. Luque, Steve Malpezzi, Andy Naranjo, Raven S. Molloy, K. Pace, E. Quintin, Timothy J. Riddiough, D. Ringo, Amit Seru, S. Sherlund, Steve Ross, Kerry D. Vandell, P. Willen, Wei Xiong, Vincent W. Yao, Abdullah Yavas (2019). Default Option Exercise over the Financial Crisis and beyond*.
Cristian Badarinza, John Y. Campbell, Tarun Ramadorai (2018). What Calls to ARMs? International Evidence on Interest Rates and the Choice of Adjustable-Rate Mortgages. Management Science, Vol. 640, No. 5.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Stefano Giglio, Christopher Polk, Robert Turley (2018). An intertemporal CAPM with stochastic volatility. Journal Of Financial Economics, Vol. 1280, No. 2.DOI
John Y. Campbell (2017). Financial Decisions and Markets. Princeton University Press.
John Y. Campbell, Adi Sunderam, Luis M. Viceira (2017). Inflation Bets or Deflation Hedges? The Changing Risks of Nominal Bonds. Critical Finance Review.DOI
Cristian Badarinza, John Y. Campbell, Tarun Ramadorai (2016). International Comparative Household Finance. Annual Review Of Economics, Vol 8, Vol. 8.DOI
John Y. Campbell (2016). Restoring Rational Choice: The Challenge of Consumer Financial Regulation. American Economic Review.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Tarun Ramadorai, Benjamin Ranish (2015). The Impact of Regulation on Mortgage Risk: Evidence from India. American Economic Journal-Economic Policy, Vol. 7, No. 4.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Joao F. Cocco (2015). A Model of Mortgage Default. Journal Of Finance, Vol. 700, No. 4.DOI
John Y. Campbell, John H. Cochrane (2015). The Fragile Benefits of Endowment Destruction. Journal of Political Economy.DOI
John Y. Campbell (2014). [Review] Empirical Asset Pricing: EugeneFama, Lars Peter Hansen, and Robert Shiller. Scandinavian Journal Of Economics, Vol. 1160, No. 30.DOI
John Y. Campbell, T. Ramadorai, Benjamin Ranish (2014). Getting Better or Feeling Better? How Equity Investors Respond to Investment Experience.DOI
John Y. Campbell (2014). Comment. NBER Macroeconomics Annual.DOI
John Y. Campbell (2013). Mortgage Market Design. Review Of Finance, Vol. 170, No. 10.DOI
M. Baily, John Y. Campbell, John H. Cochrane, Douglas W. Diamond, D. Duffie, K. French, A. Kashyap, Frederic S. Mishkin, Raghuram G. Rajan, D. Scharfstein, R. Shiller, M. Slaughter, H. Shin, Jeremy C. Stein, René M. Stulz (2013). Aligning Incentives at Systemically Important Financial Institutions: A Proposal by the Squam Lake Group.DOI
John Y. Campbell, T. Ramadorai, Benjamin Ranish (2012). How Do Regulators Influence Mortgage Risk: Evidence from an Emerging Market.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Howell E. Jackson, Brigitte C. Madrian, Peter Tufano (2011). Making Financial Markets Work For Consumers. Harvard Business Review, Vol. 89, No. 78.
John Y. Campbell, Stefano Giglio, Parag A. Pathak (2011). Forced Sales and House Prices.DOI
M. Baily, John Y. Campbell, J. Cochrane, Douglas W. Diamond, D. Duffie, K. French, A. Kashyap, Frederic S. Mishkin, D. Scharfstein, R. Shiller, M. Slaughter, H. Shin, J. Stein, René M. Stulz (2011). Reforming Money Market Funds.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Karine Serfaty-De Medeiros, Luis M. Viceira (2010). Global Currency Hedging. Journal Of Finance, Vol. 650, No. 1.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Christopher Polk, Tuomo Vuolteenaho (2010). Growth or Glamour? Fundamentals and Systematic Risk in Stock Returns. Review Of Financial Studies, Vol. 230, No. 1.DOI
K. French, M. Baily, John Y. Campbell (2010). The Squam Lake Report: Fixing the Financial System.DOI
John Y. Campbell (2010). Global Currency Hedging: What Role Should Foreign Currency Play in a Diversified Investment Portfolio?DOI
John Y. Campbell, Stefano Giglio, Christopher K. Polk (2010). Hard Times The Harvard community has made this article openly available. Please share how this access benefits you. Your story matters.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Tarun Ramadorai, Allie Schwartz (2009). Caught on tape: Institutional trading, stock returns, and earnings announcements. Journal Of Financial Economics, Vol. 920, No. 1.DOI
Laurent E. Calvet, John Y. Campbell, Paolo Sodini (2009). FIGHT OR FLIGHT? PORTFOLIO REBALANCING BY INDIVIDUAL INVESTORS. Quarterly Journal Of Economics, Vol. 1240, No. 1.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Robert J. Shiller, Luis M. Viceira (2009). Understanding Inflation-Indexed Bond Markets. Brookings Papers On Economic Activity, No. 1.
Laurent E. Calvet, John Y. Campbell, Paolo Sodini (2009). Measuring the Financial Sophistication of Households. American Economic Review.DOI
John Y. Campbell (2009). The Changing Role of Nominal Government Bonds in Asset Allocation. The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review.DOI
Jason Beeler, John Campbell (2009). The Long-Run Risks Model and Aggregate Asset Prices: An Empirical Assessment. National Bureau of Economic Research.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Jens Hilscher, Jan Szilagyi (2008). In Search of Distress Risk. Journal Of Finance, Vol. 630, No. 6.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Samuel B. Thompson (2008). Predicting excess stock returns out of sample: Can anything beat the historical average? Review Of Financial Studies, Vol. 210, No. 4.DOI
John Y. Campbell (2008). Viewpoint: Estimating the equity premium. Canadian Journal Of Economics-Revue Canadienne D Economique, Vol. 410, No. 1.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Yves Nosbusch (2007). Intergenerational risksharing and equilibrium asset prices. Journal Of Monetary Economics, Vol. 540, No. 8.DOI
Laurent E. Calvet, John Y. Campbell, Paolo Sodini (2007). Down or out: Assessing the welfare costs of household investment mistakes. Journal Of Political Economy, Vol. 1150, No. 5.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Joao F. Cocco (2007). How do house prices affect consumption? Evidence from micro data. Journal Of Monetary Economics, Vol. 540, No. 3.DOI
John Y. Campbell (2006). Household finance. Journal Of Finance, Vol. 610, No. 4.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Motohiro Yogo (2006). Efficient tests of stock return predictability. Journal Of Financial Economics, Vol. 810, No. 1.DOI
John Y. Campbell, T. Ramadorai, Tuomo Vuolteenaho (2005). Caught On Tape: Institutional Order Flow and Stock Returns.DOI
John Campbell, Luis M. Viceira (2005). The Term Structure of the Risk-Return Tradeoff. National Bureau of Economic Research.DOI
John Y. Campbell, George Chacko, Jorge F. Rodriguez, Luis M. Viceira (2004). STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION IN A CONTINUOUS-TIME VAR MODEL.DOI
Andrew Ang, G. Bekaert, Michael Brandt, John Y. Campbell, John Cochrane, George A. Constantinides, Cam Harvey, Bob Hodrick, Charles Jones, P. Owen, La-Mont, Martin Lettau, Jun Liu, Sydney C. Ludvigson, Christopher J. Neely, J. Poterba, T. Santos, Bob Shiller, Timothy T. Simin, Ken Singleton, R. Stambaugh, Meir Statman, Jim Stock, Ane Tamayo, S. Thomson, J. Wurgler (2004). Stock Return Predictability : Is it There ?
John Y. Campbell, Tuomo Vuolteenaho (2004). Bad Beta, Good Beta. American Economic Review.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Tuomo Vuolteenaho (2004). Inflation Illusion and Stock Prices. American Economic Review.DOI
John Y. Campbell, João F. Cocco (2003). Household Risk Management and Optimal Mortgage Choice.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Luis M. Viceira, Joshua S. White (2003). Foreign Currency for Long-Term Investors.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Glen B. Taksler (2002). Equity Volatility and Corporate Bond Yields.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Yeung L. Chan, Luis M. Viceira (2002). A multivariate model of strategic asset allocation. Journal of Financial Economics.DOI
John Y. Campbell (2001). Why Long Horizons: A Study of Power Against Persistent Alternatives.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Martin Lettau, B. Malkiel, Ye-Xiao J. Xu (2001). Have Individual Stocks Become More Volatile? An Empirical Exploration of Idiosyncratic Risk.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Luis M. Viceira (2001). Who Should Buy Long-Term Bonds? American Economic Review.DOI
John Y. Campbell (2000). Asset Pricing at the Millennium. The Journal of Finance.DOI
John Y. Campbell, John H. Cochrane (2000). Explaining the Poor Performance of Consumption‐based Asset Pricing Models. The Journal of Finance.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Luis M. Viceira (1999). Consumption and Portfolio Decisions when Expected Returns are Time Varying. The Quarterly Journal of Economics.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Martin Lettau (1999). Dispersion and Volatility in Stock Returns: An Empirical Investigation. National Bureau of Economic Research.DOI
John Y. Campbell (1998). Asset Prices, Consumption, and the Business Cycle.DOI
John Y. Campbell, R. Shiller (1998). Valuation Ratios and the Long-Run Stock Market Outlook.DOI
John Y. Campbell, John H. Cochrane (1998). By Force of Habit: A Consumption-Based Explanation of Plantation of Aggregate Stock Market Behavior.DOI
David G. Barr, John Y. Campbell (1997). Inflation, real interest rates, and the bond market: A study of UK nominal and index-linked government bond prices. Journal of Monetary Economics.DOI
John Y. Campbell (1996). Consumption and the Stock Market: Interpreting International Experience. National Bureau of Economic Research.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Robert J. Shiller (1996). A Scorecard for Indexed Government Debt. NBER Macroeconomics Annual.DOI
John Y. Campbell (1995). Some Lessons from the Yield Curve.DOI
John Y. Campbell, A. Kyle (1993). Smart Money, Noise Trading and Stock Price Behavior.DOI
John Y. Campbell (1993). Understanding Risk and Return. Journal of Political Economy.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Kenneth A. Froot (1993). International Experiences with Securities Transaction Taxes. National Bureau of Economic Research.DOI
John Campbell, Jianping Mei (1993). Where do Betas Come From? Asset Price Dynamics and the Sources of Systematic Risk. National Bureau of Economic Research.DOI
John Y. Campbell (1992). Intertemporal Asset Pricing Without Consumption Data.DOI
John Y. Campbell (1992). Inspecting the Mechanism: An Analytical Approach to the Stochastic Growth Model. Journal of Monetary Economics.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Ludger Hentschel (1992). No news is good news. Journal of Financial Economics.DOI
John Y. Campbell, R. Shiller (1991). Yield Spreads and Interest Rate Movements: A Bird''s Eye View. Review of Economic Studies, 58, 49.DOI
John Y. Campbell, N. Gregory Mankiw (1991). The response of consumption to income. European Economic Review.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Pierre Perrón (1991). Pitfalls and Opportunities: What Macroeconomists Should Know about Unit Roots. NBER Macroeconomics Annual.DOI
John Campbell, Pierre Perrón (1991). Pitfalls and Opportunities: What Macroeconomists Should Know About Unit Roots. National Bureau of Economic Research.DOI
John Y. Campbell, N. Mankiw (1990). Permanent Income, Current Income, and Consumption.DOI
John Y. Campbell (1990). Measuring the Persistence of Expected Returns.DOI
John Y. Campbell (1990). A Variance Decomposition for Stock Returns. The Economic Journal.DOI
John Y. Campbell, N. Gregory Mankiw (1989). International evidence on the persistence of economic fluctuations. Journal of Monetary Economics.DOI
John Y. Campbell, N. Gregory Mankiw (1989). Consumption, Income, and Interest Rates: Reinterpreting the Time Series Evidence. NBER Macroeconomics Annual.DOI
John Campbell, Angus Deaton (1989). Why is Consumption So Smooth? The Review of Economic Studies.DOI
John Y. Campbell, R. Shiller (1988). The Dividend-Price Ratio and Expectations of Future Dividends and Discount Factors.DOI
John Y. Campbell, R. Shiller (1988). The Dividend Ratio Model and Small Sample Bias: a Monte Carlo Study.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Robert J. Shiller (1988). Stock Prices, Earnings and Expected Dividends. The Journal of Finance.DOI
John Y. Campbell, R. Clarida (1987). The Dollar and Real Interest Rates.DOI
John Y. Campbell, N. Gregory Mankiw (1987). Permanent and Transitory Components in Macroeconomic Fluctuations. National Bureau of Economic Research.DOI
John Campbell, Richard H. Clarida (1987). Household Saving and Permanent Income in Canada and the United Kingdom. National Bureau of Economic Research.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Richard H. Clarida (1986). The Term Structure of Euromarket Interest Rates: An Empirical Investigation. National Bureau of Economic Research.DOI
John Campbell, N. Gregory Mankiw (1986). Are Output Fluctuations Transitory? National Bureau of Economic Research.DOI
John Y. Campbell (1986). Money Announcements, The Demand for Bank Reserves, and the Behavior of the Federal Funds Rate within the Statement Week. Journal of money credit and banking.DOI
John Y. Campbell (1986). Comment. Econometric Reviews.DOI
John Campbell, Robert J. Shiller (1986). Cointegration and Tests of Present Value Models. National Bureau of Economic Research.DOI
John Y. Campbell (1985). Stock Returns and the Term Structure. Journal of Financial Economics.DOI
John Y. Campbell (1984). Bond and Stock Returns in a Simple Exchange Model.DOI
Preprints
John Y. Campbell, Can Gao, IAN W. R. MARTIN (2023). Debt and Deficits: Fiscal Analysis with Stationary Ratios. SSRN Electronic Journal.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Stefano Giglio, Christopher Polk (2023). What Drives Booms and Busts in Value? SSRN Electronic Journal.DOI
Laurent E. Calvet, John Y. Campbell, Francisco Gomes, Paolo Sodini (2021). The Cross-Section of Household Preferences. SSRN Electronic Journal.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Tarun Ramadorai, Benjamin Ranish (2012). Do Stock Traders Learn from Experience? Evidence from an Emerging Market. SSRN Electronic Journal.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Stefano Giglio, Christopher Polk (2011). Hard Times. SSRN Electronic Journal.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Howell Edmunds Jackson, Brigitte C. Madrian, Peter Tufano (2010). The Regulation of Consumer Financial Products: An Introductory Essay with Four Case Studies. SSRN Electronic Journal.DOI
John Y. Campbell, João F. Cocco, Francisco Gomes, Pascal J. Maenhout (2000). Investing Retirement Wealth: A Life-Cycle Model. SSRN Electronic Journal.DOI
John Y. Campbell, João F. Cocco, Francisco Gomes, Pascal J. Maenhout, Luis M. Viceira (2000). Stock Market Mean Reversion and the Optimal Equity Allocation of a Long-Lived Investor. SSRN Electronic Journal.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Sydney C. Ludvigson (1999). Elasticities of Substitution in Real Business Cycle Models with Home Production. SSRN Electronic Journal.DOI
Book Chapters
John Y. Campbell, Yeung Lewis Chanb, M. Viceira (2013). A multivariate model of strategic asset allocation. World Scientific handbook in financial economic series.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Robert J. Shiller, Luis M. Viceira (2012). Understanding Inflation-Indexed Bond Markets. Financial Innovation.DOI
John Y. Campbell (2003). Chapter 13 Consumption-based asset pricing. Handbook of the economics of finance.DOI
John Y. Campbell, Luis M. Viceira (1998). Who Should Buy Long-Term Bonds?DOI