百晓学者学者目录

张文霞

副教授、副研究员、助理教授、博导、教授，南京大学

精选作品

期刊论文

2026

区域气候变化:人为强迫和自然变率的作用

周天军，江洁，胡帅，张文霞，陈晓龙，巫明娜

《科学通报》

2026

Enhancing Seasonal Predictability of Haihe River Basin Summer Precipitation Through ENSO and North Pacific–Atlantic Precursors

Xiang-Min Li, Tai-Hua Wang, Xu-Yao Tang, Yu-Ting Yang, Wenxia Zhang, Ying-Shuang Ma, Guo-Bao Zhang, Xiang-Rui Lin, De-Liang Chen, Da-Wen Yang

Journal of Climate

DOI

2026

Interannual Variability of Compound Hot‐Dry Events Over the Tibetan Plateau

Rongyun Pan, Tian-Jun Zhou, Kexin Gui, Lixia Zhang, Wenxia Zhang, Jie Jiang

Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres

DOI

2026

Changes of Precipitation Extremes and Persistence Over the Tibetan Plateau Projected by a Convection‐Permitting Model

Yongjun Chen, Wenxia Zhang, Li-Wei Zou, Tian-Jun Zhou

Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres

DOI

2026

Changes in Wind Extremes Shaped the Summertime Weakening of the Eurasian Subtropical Westerly Jet

Yongtong Li, Tian-Jun Zhou, Jie Jiang, Wenxia Zhang, Zhun Guo

Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres

DOI

2026

Long-Term Extended Projection of Global Land Monsoon Precipitation Beyond 2100 under a Low-Emission Scenario

Kangnian Ren, Tao Zhou, Wenxia Zhang, Zikun Ren, Jie Jiang, Xiaolong Chen

Journal of Climate

DOI

2026

Convection-Permitting Projections of Summer Extreme Precipitation Over the Tibetan Plateau

Yongjun Chen, Wenxia Zhang, Liwei Zou, Tianjun Zhou

DOI

2026

Attributing and projecting record-shattering September tropical night events in East Asia

Ga‐Yeong Seo, Seung‐Ki Min, Yukiko Imada, Wenxia Zhang

Weather and Climate Extremes

DOI

2025

气候变化与野火

张文霞，俞妍，桂可心，周天军

《自然杂志》

2025

IPCC第七次评估报告第一工作组“气候变化科学基础”大纲解读及启示

周天军，陈晓龙，张文霞，江洁，胡帅

《气候变化研究进展》

2025

人为气溶胶减排显著影响全球季风区陆地可用水量未来变化（英文）

江洁，周天军，张文霞

Science Bulletin

2025

Aerosol mitigation matters to future water availability in the global monsoon region.

Jie Jiang, Tian-Jun Zhou, Wenxia Zhang

Science Bulletin

DOI

2025

The Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP v2.0) contribution to CMIP7

N. Gillett, Isla R. Simpson, G. Hegerl, R. Knutti, D. Mitchell, A. Ribes, H. Shiogama, D. Stone, Claudia Tebaldi, Piotr Wolski, Wenxia Zhang, Vivek K. Arora

Geoscientific Model Development

DOI

2025

Increased Precipitation Variability at Multi-timescales in China since the 1960s

Xuyang Mo, Wenxia Zhang, Tian-Jun Zhou

Weather and Climate Extremes

DOI

2025

Updating the Baseline Period Affects the Detection of Extreme Climate Change in China

Lan Li, Tian-Jun Zhou, Wenxia Zhang

Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres

DOI

2025

Emergence of the enhanced equatorial Atlantic warming as a fingerprint of global warming

Lu Dong, Zheng Wang, Li-Xin Wu, Feng-Fei Song, Agus Santoso, Wenxia Zhang, Tian-Jun Zhou

Nature Communications

DOI

2024

气候变化影响中国东北地区降水侵蚀力的高分辨率区域模式预估

辛羽婷，张文霞，邹立维，周天军，赵勇

《大气科学》

2024

气候变化与碳中和

周天军，陈晓龙，张文霞，张丽霞

《自然杂志》

2024

Evaluation of tropical cyclone genesis frequency in FGOALS-g3 large ensemble: mean state and interannual variability

Ting-Yu Zhang, Tian-Jun Zhou, Xin Huang, Wenxia Zhang, Xiao-Long Chen, P. Lin, Li-Juan Li

Climate Dynamics

DOI

2024

Extreme dry advection dominates the record-breaking Yangtze River heatwave in midsummer of 2022

Shuai Hu, Tian-Jun Zhou, Dongdong Peng, Wanyi Jiang, Bo-yi Lu, Bo Wu, Xiao-Long Chen, Li-Xia Zhang, Wenxia Zhang

Climate Dynamics

DOI

2024

Anthropogenic amplification of precipitation variability over the past century

Wenxia Zhang, Tian-Jun Zhou, Pei-Li Wu

Science

DOI

2024

Increasing exposure of global croplands productivity to growing season heatwaves under climate warming

Yongjun Chen, Wenxia Zhang, Tian-Jun Zhou

Environmental Research Letters

DOI

2024

Attribution of the Extreme 2022 Summer Drought along the Yangtze River Valley in China Based on Detection and Attribution System of Chinese Academy of Sciences

Lixia Zhang, Tian-Jun Zhou, Xing Zhang, Wenxia Zhang, Li-Juan Li, Laurent Z. X. Li

Bulletin of The American Meteorological Society - (BAMS)

DOI

2024

Moisture sources for the unprecedented precipitation event in the heart of Taklimakan desert

Shijie Tang, Tian-Jun Zhou, Li-Xia Zhang, Li-Wei Zou, Wenxia Zhang, Shijia Liu

Weather and Climate Extremes

DOI

2024

Quantifying the extremity of 2022 Chinese Yangtze River Valley daily hot extreme: fixed or moving baseline matters

Lan Li, Tian-Jun Zhou, Wenxia Zhang, Kexin Gui

Environmental Research Letters

DOI

2024

Future reduction of cold extremes over East Asia due to thermodynamic and dynamic warming

Donghuan Li, Tian-Jun Zhou, You-Cun Qi, Li-Wei Zou, Chao Li, Wenxia Zhang, Xiao-Long Chen

Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics

DOI

2024

Land-atmosphere coupling amplified the record-breaking heatwave at altitudes above 5000 meters on the Tibetan Plateau in July 2022

Kexin Gui, Tian-Jun Zhou, Wenxia Zhang, Xing Zhang

Weather and Climate Extremes

DOI

2024

Contributions of Stationary and Transient Water Vapor Transports to the Extreme Precipitation Changes Over the Tibetan Plateau

Shijia Liu, Tian-Jun Zhou, Jie Jiang, Li-Wei Zou, Lixia Zhang, Wenxia Zhang, Lin-Qiang He

Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres

DOI

2023

气候系统模式FGOALS-g3模拟的全球季风：版本比较和海气耦合过程影响分析

张星，周天军，张文霞，左萌，张丽霞

《大气科学》

2023

北非季风气候态及其年际变率的数值模拟：基于FGOALS-g3模式的诊断分析

邱慧，周天军，陈梓明，张文霞，陈晓龙，李立娟，林鹏飞

《大气科学》

2023

Precipitation regime changes in High Mountain Asia driven by cleaner air

Jie Jiang, Tian-Jun Zhou, Y. Qian, Chao Li, F. Song, Hong-Mei Li, Xiao-Long Chen, Wenxia Zhang, Zi-Ming Chen

Nature

DOI

2023

Understanding and Attribution of Extreme Heat and Drought Events in 2022: Current Situation and Future Challenges

Li-Xia Zhang, Xiaojing Yu, Tian-Jun Zhou, Wenxia Zhang, Shuai Hu, R. Clark

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences

DOI

2023

Extremely hot East Asia and flooding western South Asia in the summer of 2022 tied to reversed flow over Tibetan Plateau

Chao He, Tian-Jun Zhou, Li-Xia Zhang, Xiao-Long Chen, Wenxia Zhang

Climate Dynamics

DOI

2023

Emergent Constrained Projections of Mean and Extreme Warming in China

Zi-Ming Chen, Tian-Jun Zhou, Xiao-Long Chen, Wenxia Zhang, M. Zuo, Wen-Min Man, Y. Qian

Geophysical Research Letters

DOI

2023

Evaluating historical climate extremes in the FGOALS-g3 large ensemble in the presence of internal climate variability

Wenxia Zhang, Yongjun Chen, Tian-Jun Zhou, Xiao-Long Chen, Zi-Kun Ren

Climate Dynamics

DOI

2023

Intensification of Mesoscale Convective Systems in the East Asian Rainband Over the Past Two Decades

Pu-Xi Li, F. Song, Hao-Ming Chen, Jian Li, A. Prein, Wenxia Zhang, Tian-Jun Zhou, Mo-Ran Zhuang, K. Furtado, Mark R. Muetzelfeldt, R. Schiemann, Chao Li

Geophysical Research Letters

DOI

2023

Population Exposure Changes to Mean and Extreme Climate Events Over Pakistan and Associated Mechanisms

Farhan Saleem, Wenxia Zhang, S. Hina, Xiaodong Zeng, Irfan Ullah, Tehmina Bibi, D. Nnamdi

GeoHealth

DOI

2023

Increased impact of heat domes on 2021-like heat extremes in North America under global warming

Xing Zhang, Tian-Jun Zhou, Wenxia Zhang, Li-Wen Ren, Jie Jiang, Shuai Hu, M. Zuo, Li-Xia Zhang, Wen-Min Man

Nature Communications

DOI

2022

近60年来中国主要流域极端降水演变特征

江洁，周天军，张文霞

《大气科学》

2022

Change in Precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau Projected by Weighted CMIP6 Models

Yin Zhao, Tian-Jun Zhou, Wenxia Zhang, Jian Li

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences

DOI

2022

2021: A Year of Unprecedented Climate Extremes in Eastern Asia, North America, and Europe

Tian-Jun Zhou, Wenxia Zhang, Li-Xia Zhang, R. Clark, Cheng Qian, Qinghong Zhang, Hui Qiu, Jie Jiang, Xing Zhang

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences

DOI

2022

The Super-large Ensemble Experiments of CAS FGOALS-g3

P. Lin, Bowen Zhao, Ji-Lin Wei, Hailong Liu, Wenxia Zhang, Xiao-Long Chen, Jie Jiang, M. Ding, Wen-Min Man, Jin-Rong Jiang, Xu Zhang, Yuewen Ding, Wenrong Bai, Chenyang Jin, Zipeng Yu, Yiwen Li, Wei-Peng Zheng, Tian-Jun Zhou

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences

DOI

2022

Evaluation and projections of the East Asian summer monsoon in a perturbed parameter ensemble

J. Rostron, D. Sexton, K. Furtado, M. J. Carvalho, S. Milton, José M. Rodríguez, Wenxia Zhang

Climate Dynamics

DOI

2022

Erratum to: Understanding and building upon pioneering work of Nobel Prize in Physics 2021 laureates Syukuro Manabe and Klaus Hasselmann: From greenhouse effect to Earth system science and beyond

Tian-Jun Zhou, Wenxia Zhang, Deliang L. Chen, Xuebin Zhang, Chao Li, M. Zuo, Xiao-Long Chen

Science China. Earth Sciences

DOI

2022

Heavy Rainfall Event in Mid-August 2020 in Southwestern China: Contribution of Anthropogenic Forcings and Atmospheric Circulation

Cheng Qian, Yangbo Ye, Wenxia Zhang, Tian-Jun Zhou

Bulletin of The American Meteorological Society - (BAMS)

DOI

2022

Observationally constrained projection of Afro-Asian monsoon precipitation

Zi-Ming Chen, Tian-Jun Zhou, Xiao-Long Chen, Wenxia Zhang, Li-Xia Zhang, Mingna Wu, Li-Wei Zou

Nature Communications

DOI

2022

Understanding and building upon pioneering work of Nobel Prize in Physics 2021 laureates Syukuro Manabe and Klaus Hasselmann: From greenhouse effect to Earth system science and beyond

Tian-Jun Zhou, Wenxia Zhang, De-Liang Chen, Xuebin Zhang, Chao Li, M. Zuo, Xiao-Long Chen

Science China. Earth Sciences

DOI

2022

Constraining extreme precipitation projections using past precipitation variability

Wenxia Zhang, K. Furtado, Tian-Jun Zhou, Pei-Li Wu, Xiao-Long Chen

Nature Communications

DOI

2022

Understanding Differences in Event Attribution Results Arising from Modeling Strategy

Wenxia Zhang, Li-Wen Ren, Tian-Jun Zhou

Journal of Meteorological Research

DOI

2021

2020年梅雨期极端降水的归因探讨和未来风险预估研究

Tian-Jun Zhou, Wen-Ren Li, Wenxia Zhang

SCIENTIA SINICA Terrae

DOI

2021

Overview of the Global Monsoons Model Intercomparison Project (GMMIP): Progress and Challenges

A. Turner, Tian-Jun Zhou, J. Kinter, Xiao-Long Chen, Li-Xia Zhang, Zhun Guo, Xin Huang, Bo Liu, Senfeng Liu, Kai Wong, Wenxia Zhang

DOI

2021

Anthropogenic warming of Tibetan Plateau and constrained future projection

Tian-Jun Zhou, Wenxia Zhang

DOI

2021

Anthropogenic influence on extreme Meiyu rainfall in 2020 and its future risk

Tian-Jun Zhou, Li-Wen Ren, Wenxia Zhang

Science China. Earth Sciences

DOI

2021

2021年诺贝尔物理学奖解读：从温室效应到地球系统科学

Tianjun Zhou, Wenxia Zhang, Deliang Chen, Xuebin Zhang, Chao Li, M. Zuo, Xiao-Long Chen

SCIENTIA SINICA Terrae

DOI

2021

Increasing precipitation variability on daily-to-multiyear time scales in a warmer world

Wenxia Zhang, K. Furtado, Pei-Li Wu, Tian-Jun Zhou, R. Chadwick, C. Marzin, J. Rostron, D. Sexton

Science Advances

DOI

2021

A very likely weakening of Pacific Walker Circulation in constrained near-future projections

Mingna Wu, Tian-Jun Zhou, Chao Li, Hong-Mei Li, Xiao-Long Chen, Bo Wu, Wenxia Zhang, Li-Xia Zhang

Nature Communications

DOI

2021

The Effect of Modeling Strategies on Assessments of Differential Warming Impacts of 0.5°C

Wenxia Zhang, Tian-Jun Zhou

Earth's Future

DOI

2020

中国地区极端降水事件的未来变化对人口的影响（英文）

张文霞，周天军

Science Bulletin

2020

表面气温内部变率估算方法的比较研究

陆静文，周天军，黄昕，张文霞，邹立维

《大气科学》

2020

The Recent Decline and Recovery of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall: Relative Roles of External Forcing and Internal Variability

Xin Huang, Tian-Jun Zhou, A. Turner, A. Dai, Xiao-Long Chen, R. Clark, Jie Jiang, Wen-Min Man, J. Murphy, J. Rostron, Bo Wu, Li-Xia Zhang, Wenxia Zhang, Li-Wei Zou

Journal of Climate

DOI

2020

Increasing impacts from extreme precipitation on population over China with global warming.

Wenxia Zhang, Tian-Jun Zhou

Science Bulletin

DOI

2020

The Sources of Uncertainty in the Projection of Global Land Monsoon Precipitation

Tian-Jun Zhou, Jingwen Lu, Wenxia Zhang, Zi-Ming Chen

Geophysical Research Letters

DOI

2020

Global Land Monsoon Precipitation Changes in CMIP6 Projections

Zi-Ming Chen, Tian-Jun Zhou, Li-Xia Zhang, Xiao-Long Chen, Wenxia Zhang, Jie Jiang

Geophysical Research Letters

DOI

2020

Projected Changes in the Annual Range of Precipitation Under Stabilized 1.5°C and 2.0°C Warming Futures

Zi-Ming Chen, Tian-Jun Zhou, Wenxia Zhang, Pu-Xi Li, Si-Yao Zhao

Earth's Future

DOI

2020

Attribution of the record-breaking heat event over Northeast Asia in summer 2018: the role of circulation

Li-Wen Ren, Tian-Jun Zhou, Wenxia Zhang

Environmental Research Letters

DOI

2020

人为气溶胶导致全球陆地季风区降水减少的动力和热力过程

Wenxia Zhang, Li-Xia Zhang, Dongdong Peng, Xue-Bing Zhang, Yun-Lu Qian, Shuang-Mei Ma, Bu-Wen Dong, Tian-Jun Zhou

SCIENTIA SINICA Terrae

DOI

2020

The dynamic and thermodynamic processes dominating the reduction of global land monsoon precipitation driven by anthropogenic aerosols emission

Tian-Jun Zhou, Wenxia Zhang, Li-Xia Zhang, Xue-Bin Zhang, Y. Qian, Dongdong Peng, Shuang-Mei Ma, B. Dong

Science China. Earth Sciences

DOI

2020

Attribution Of The 2018 October–December Drought Over South Southern Africa

Shingirai S. Nangombe, Tian-Jun Zhou, Li-Xia Zhang, Wenxia Zhang

DOI

2019

CMIP6检测归因模式比较计划(DAMIP)概况与评述

钱诚，张文霞

《气候变化研究进展》

2019

Future Intensification of the Water Cycle with an Enhanced Annual Cycle over Global Land Monsoon Regions

Wenxia Zhang, Tian-Jun Zhou, Li-Xia Zhang, Li-Wei Zou

Journal of Climate

DOI

2019

Observationally constrained projection of the reduced intensification of extreme climate events in Central Asia from 0.5 °C less global warming

Dongdong Peng, Tian-Jun Zhou, Li-Xia Zhang, Wenxia Zhang, Xiao-Long Chen

Climate Dynamics

DOI

2019

Significant Increases in Extreme Precipitation and the Associations with Global Warming over the Global Land Monsoon Regions

Wenxia Zhang, Tian-Jun Zhou

Journal of Climate

DOI

2019

Northern Hemisphere land monsoon precipitation changes in the twentieth century revealed by multiple reanalysis datasets

Xin Huang, Tian-Jun Zhou, Wenxia Zhang, Jie Jiang, Pu-Xi Li, Yin Zhao

Climate Dynamics

DOI

2019

Evaluation of Satellite and Reanalysis Precipitable Water Vapor Data Sets Against Radiosonde Observations in Central Asia

Jie Jiang, Tian-Jun Zhou, Wenxia Zhang

Earth and Space Science

DOI

2019

A Comparison of the Estimated Internal Variability of Near-surface Air Temperature Using Three Methods

Jingwen Lu, Tian-Jun Zhou, Xin Huang, Wenxia Zhang, Li-Wei Zou

2019

Extreme precipitation over East Asia under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming targets: a comparison of stabilized and overshoot projections

Donghuan Li, Tian-Jun Zhou, Wenxia Zhang

Environmental Research Communications

DOI

2019

High‐Temperature Extreme Events Over Africa Under 1.5 and 2 °C of Global Warming

Shingirai S. Nangombe, Tian-Jun Zhou, Wenxia Zhang, Li-Wei Zou, Donghuan Li

Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres

DOI

2018

Record-breaking climate extremes in Africa under stabilized 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming scenarios

Shingirai Nangombe, Tianjun Zhou, Wenxia Zhang, Bo Wu, Shuai Hu, Liwei Zou, Donghuan Li

Nature Climate Change，Vol. 80, No. 50

DOI

2018

东亚夏季风变化机理的模拟和未来变化的预估:成绩和问题、机遇和挑战

周天军，吴波，郭准，何超，邹立维，陈晓龙，张丽霞，满文敏，李普曦，李东欢，姚隽琛，黄昕，张文霞，左萌，陆静文，孙宁

《大气科学》

2018

When and how will the Millennium Silk Road witness 1.5 °C and 2 °C warmer worlds?

Tian-Jun Zhou, N. Sun, Wenxia Zhang, Xiao-Long Chen, Dong Peng, Donghui Li, Li-Wen Ren, M. Zuo

DOI

2018

Reduced exposure to extreme precipitation from 0.5 °C less warming in global land monsoon regions

Wenxia Zhang, Tian-Jun Zhou, Li-Wei Zou, Li-Xia Zhang, Xiao-Long Chen

Nature Communications

DOI

2018

The FGOALS climate system model as a modeling tool for supporting climate sciences: An overview

Tian-Jun Zhou, Bin Wang, Yong-Qiang Yu, Yi-Min Liu, Wei-Peng Zheng, Li-Juan Li, Bo Wu, P. Lin, Zhun Guo, Wen-Min Man, Q. Bao, A. Duan, Hailong Liu, Xiao-Long Chen, B. He, Jian-Dong Li, Li-Wei Zou, Xiao-Cong Wang, Li-Xia Zhang, Yong Sun, Wenxia Zhang

DOI

2018

Extreme High‐Temperature Events Over East Asia in 1.5°C and 2°C Warmer Futures: Analysis of NCAR CESM Low‐Warming Experiments

Donghuan Li, Tian-Jun Zhou, Li-Wei Zou, Wenxia Zhang, Li-Xia Zhang

DOI

2017

1960-2015年中国绿洲胡杨生长季对全球变暖的时空响应及原因

张文霞，刘普幸，冯青荣，汪天广，王天强

《地理学报》

2017

MRI模式对华南春雨气候态及年际变率的模拟:不同模式分辨率的比较

李普曦，周天军，邹立维，陈晓龙，张文霞，郭准

《大气科学》

2017

ENSEMBLES耦合模式对全球陆地季风区夏季降水的年代际预测能力评估

张丽霞，张文霞，周天军，吴波

《地球科学进展》

2017

Wetting and greening Tibetan Plateau in early summer in recent decades

Wenxia Zhang, Tian-Jun Zhou, Li-Xia Zhang

DOI

2016

雅鲁藏布江流域夏季降水的年际变化及其原因

张文霞，张丽霞，周天军

《大气科学》

2016

Wetting and greening Tibetan Plateau in early summer since the late 1970s due to advanced Asian summer monsoon onset

Wenxia Zhang, Tian-Jun Zhou, Li-Xia Zhang

2016

ZANGBO川流域における夏季降水の経年変化とその原因【JST・京大機械翻訳】

Wenxia Zhang, Li-Xia Zhang, Tian-Jun Zhou

会议论文

2025

近年的极端事件理解ENSO对东亚气候的非线性影响

何超，Fred Kucharski，周天军，陈晓龙，张丽霞，张文霞，Matthew Collins，Xingwen Jiang，Peili Wu，Nick Dunstone

《第36届中国气象学会年会摘要集——S12 极端气候事件新特征机理及预测新技术》

DOI

研究方向

气候变化极端天气气候事件全球季风水循环气候变化检测与归因

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